Excerpts on California, from:
"Opportunities
for International Financial Centres in the 21st Century"
by Professor Mason
Gaffney
This paper was given as a Keynote banquet address at the 'Conference on the Fundamentals
of International Legal Business Practice', hosted by The Bahamas Bar
Association, in association with The International Bar Association, The Bahamas
Financial Services Board, The Organization of Commonwealth Caribbean Bar
Associations, and The Inter-American Bar Association.
The Conference took
place in Superclub
Breezes, Nassau, July 16, 1999,
The OECD says a
"harmful tax regime" is one that "attracts mobile
activities." Many of us see that, rather, as a mark of a good system, but
I'll return to that. First, let's follow them along a way. Right away we think
of low taxes, and that is what the OECD means - on p.27 they specify low income
taxes. They, and allied international organizations like the EU, also have a
history of jumping nations whose VAT is too low to suit them.
That view
is too simple by far. Mexico, for example, has very low taxes, but repels both
capital and labor anyway. A nation may also attract mobile activities and
factors in two other ways. One is by offering superior public service. That for
example, is how many of us came Californians, lured by the State University.
The other is by a tax structure that favors mobile activities without stinting
on public services. This may be done simply by targeting taxes on IMmobile resources.
Let's inspect those points closer.
B. Magnetic tax structures
The U.S.A. is a great laboratory for testing tax structures. It contains 51 or
more separate systems, with free migration of labor and capital guaranteed by
The Constitution.
The extraordinary growth of California from about 1900 to 1978 shook and recast
the economy of the U.S.A., and parts of the whole world. It was not done with
low taxes and skimpy public services. It was in part the product of a tax
structure that was Magnetic (compared with other states). California's natural
advantages (a mixed bag) did not promote much growth after the 1849 Gold Rush
and the Civil War, when California growth lagged badly for 20 years or more.
Neither did the transcontinental rail connection, completed in 1867, promote
much growth. Eventually, though, INTERNAL growth-oriented forces prevailed.
California provided superior public services of many kinds: water supply,
schools and free public universities, health services, transportation, parks and
recreation, and others. It held down utility rates by regulation, coupled with
resisting the temptation to overtax utilities.
That all required tax revenues. California had oil, but did not tax severing
it, and still doesn't. Its wine industry went virtually untaxed. There was and
is hardly any tax on its magnificent redwood timber, either for cutting it or
letting it stand. There was no charge for using falling water for power, or
withdrawing water to irrigate its deserts. Most of those are good ideas, but
they are not what California did.
Its main
tax source was another kind of immobile resource: ordinary real estate. Its tax
valuers focused their attention on the most immobile part of that, the land,
such that by 1918, land value comprised 72% of the property tax base - and on
top of that there were special assessments on land.
People and capital flooded in, for they are mobile in response to
opportunities. California became the largest state, and a major or the largest
producer of many things, from farm products up to the "tertiary"
services of banking, finance and insurance.
C. Was this tax competition "harmful"?
California became the largest producer of cotton, for example, displacing a
good deal of eastern cotton. The damage to eastern producers was offset by an
equal gain to cotton processors and consumers, with a net gain from higher
usage due to the lower price. Eastern cotton lands were released for other
uses, like reforestation of lands marginal for cotton. (To the extent this was
due to subsidies, and racing for cotton quotas during the Korean War, I do not
vaunt it - but there are few pure examples of anything in this complex world.)
California attracted eastern workers, tending to draw up eastern wage rates.
The damage to eastern employers was offset by an equal gain to their workers,
with large net gains from two sources. One is a more equal distribution of
wealth; the other is a drop in welfare costs and social problems like crime
that would have ensued had the "Okies," for example, had to remain in
the Dust Bowl instead of finding new lives in California. Even the braceros,
the Hispanic "guest-workers" who toil in the fields, send money home,
relieving problems in their homelands. It would be better yet if they could
become small landowners and work their own farms, but in this imperfect world
we observe what is, without denying that it might and should be better. What is
involved here, in spite of its well-publicized abuses, and glaring shortfalls,
is turning useless and even criminal people into productive people.
As to capital, California offered a higher return on that, too. There emerged
what people called "the continental tilt of interest rates," higher
in the west, to overcome the frictions of space and draw eastern capital to
where it was more welcome. Over time, buildings that wore out in the east were
replaced in California.
Did California's vigor seem too ambitious, so as to damage others? If so, as
Shakespeare had Marc Antony say, "it were a grievous fault," worthy
of suppression by an OECD. Most economists believe, however, that investing is
the motor that drives prosperity, and raising investment opportunities is the
key to the ignition. I certainly agree.
Basically, California's remarkable 20th Century growth extended the American
and the Canadian tradition of the western frontier, in the spirit of Thomas
Jefferson, as a "safety-valve" for mobile resources oppressed in the
older states. It limited the power of the haves over the have-nots, with net
gains all around.
Was California growth the product of untaxing wealth, and dumping taxes on poor
workers and consumers? The OECD says competition is harmful because it limits
the power of OECD nations to tax "wealth," thus more-than-intimating
that they are upholding the interests of labor, like good continental European
social democrats. In this, I suggest they have misstated the issue, setting an
agenda for a false and futile debate, fooling both their friends and their
critics, and possibly even themselves (although I am cynical as to the last
point). Their premise, at least the one they state, is that "wealth"
is more mobile than labor. Some wealth is, of course, but California relied on
the property tax, and, to repeat, 70% of this tax base was land, pure land, totally
immobile. The OECD treats land like one of those four-letter words that is
unmentionable. So do its academic retainers, who are well-trained to believe
that land is just as mobile as capital. This makes them completely useless to
analyze the OECD allegation that a nation's tax regime is "harmful"
if it attracts mobile resources.
Was California growth the product of southwestern pioneer vigor? Compare if
with New Mexico, not far away. New Mexico has made itself little more than a
Third World Nation masquerading as an American state. Since before statehood,
an oligarchy of giant landowners, in the million-acre class, have dominated
everything, and kept taxes off their vast lands. New Mexico raises a lower
fraction of its state and local revenues from the property tax than any other
state. Its economic base, such as it is, is mainly the product of what Senator
Albert Beveridge of Indiana called "the free coinage of western
Senators." New Mexico gets more federal spending per capita than almost
any state, but that and scenery are about it. It is picturesque: its boosters
call it "The Land of Enchantment," but The Enchanter has cast a
sleeping spell on its local enterprise. It has the highest poverty rate in the
U.S., and, in its wide open spaces, nearly the highest rate of violent death in
the U.S. - itself a violent nation.
D. Recent changes.
In 1978, California took a giant step backwards by enacting its
"Proposition 13," capping property tax rates at about 1/3 of their
previous level. The national ranking of its services began a precipitous fall;
so did its per capita income. Struggling to maintain itself, the State has
raised sales and income and business taxes to unprecedented levels. These are
taxes that "shoot anything that moves," and spare immobile resources
that don't. The result has been the rapid "Alabamization" of
California, as we have fallen to join Alabama with the worst school system in
the nation. Inmigration has changed to outmigration, and of those who stay,
California has by far the largest prison population of any state, so large that
the union of prison guards is now our most powerful lobby, and building prisons
is our fastest-growing construction industry. None of these people, prisoners
or prison-builders or guards, are producing goods and services for others, but
are not counted as unemployed, and our unemployment rate is above the national
average even without them.
Today if we look for a new frontier we find it in, of all places, one of the
original 13 colonies, New Hampshire, with its poor soils, marshy peneplains,
harsh climate, impassable mountains, and lack of natural urban confluences.
What New Hampshire has now is the least repellent tax structure in the nation:
it does not tax personal income or sales, while 2/3 of all its state and local
revenues come from the property tax. It has bucked the national trend toward
taxing income and sales, and IT HAS PROSPERED! (Details are in a Chapter by
Richard Noyes and the speaker in Fred
Harrison (ed.), 1998, The Losses of Nations. Published by Othila Press Ltd.)